Summer Project

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

There's got to be a better way

An Unconditional Basic Income Guarantee for Every Human: When Will Americans Support Such A Humane System for Humanity?

Abstract

Government. If you can't overthrow it, then you might as well make it work for you, rather than the other way around. The same goes for the international banking system and whole global economy. In the end, it's our game. We can change the rules any time we want, if most of us can agree on a better way. For now, we're all playing in antiquated systems designed by well-intentioned people who had no idea where technology would take us and who are long since dead and buried. These systems got us to where we are today, and many of us can be thankful for that, but they may not be the best ones going forward. The distribution of wealth around the world and within the United States has become absurdly imbalanced to the point of immeasurable tragedy. Perhaps it's time to think about starting something new that is more compatible with the 21st century and our modern technology and populations. Maybe we can use something other than physical dollars that can be created in an open process of democratic consensus among a vast network of millions of people like scientists, engineers, economists, ethicists, physicians, academics and other educated and responsible groups; maybe even any and every person who wants to weigh in and respond. Maybe not. The whole point of the new game would be to keep the citizens' trade running smoothly in all places. Maybe it's time to do a grand experiment in self-regulation. We could design a primarily electronic currency in a way which allows all people to participate in commerce, maintain optimal physical health, and become educated in rational and critical thinking. One option is to have something like an "allowance" sufficient to live on that is paid to all law-abiding citizens whether they work or not, to guarantee a minimim standard of living for everyone, including the least among us. This is a form of an "Unconditional Basic Income Guarantee." It would allow us to end poverty and starvation permanently, and to restore civility to civilization. It has the potential to transform our current economies of what amounts to state-owned human beings living as the productive money-making property of banks and rulers into economies of free people serving themselves and each other. It would enable us to get millions of cars off the roads. It would dramatically reduce crime and its motives. It would provide our species' most creative people the time they require to maximize their creativity for the benefit of all humankind, and a mechanism for rewarding them fairly for their creations. It would allow the rest of us the time to explore and develop our own personal gifts on our own natural schedules.

If we can come up with something better and decide to move ahead with it, then getting to there from here in the most peaceful and least disruptive and traumatic way will take a lot of open discussions, private conversations and intelligent planning. We haven't done this before for one major reason: we didn't have the resources to make it happen. Fortunately, we now at last have the tools to get this job done the right way. It's time for all of us to start this extremely serious conversation in earnest, rather than dismissing these ideas as fanciful daydreams and futile hopes. It's time to Think BIG.

Biography

Ken Meyering is a 43-year old undergraduate student in the United States. He is currently learning the computer technologies that he will use to develop his "define.com" website into a large scale cloud computing application which collects and serves multimedia content in most of the Earth's human languages, while providing free web-based "show and tell" language training to help improve the rate at which we communicate across cultures. He can be reached via e-mail at: feedback4 (at) define (dot) com.

Introduction

World War II and the Cold War left Americans with a strong visceral hatred of Communism and Socialism as practiced in Germany, Italy, the Soviet Union, Cuba, China and elsewhere. These nations included totalitarian leadership and little freedom and democracy for the citizens and their markets. Americans became champions of free trade and Capitalism. However, capitalism in the United States is beginning to fail the middle class as a result of globalization and corporate consolidation. The great masses of middle class capitalists are finally running out of capital. This is evidenced by our $11 trillion national debt, massive budget deficits, rising unemployment and recent near catastrophic banking crisis. This is not due to a lack of entrepreneurial spirit and creativity, but instead is a result of many entrepreneurs outsourcing their manufacturing to other nations rather than paying the much higher middle class wages in America. Their reason is simple: if they were to pay middle class wages in the U.S., their products would be too expensive to compete globally and with foreign imports. There is nothing morally wrong or illogical here from a common sense business perspective, as consumers obviously prefer lower prices over "Made in the USA." It has finally become apparent to many that globalization is seriously threatening to destroy the quality of life for most Americans, as they are quite literally running out of productive jobs, money and credit in spite of much cheaper consumer goods.

The fact that the U.S. economy is still functioning today is largely a result of the help of China, a Communist state with 1.3 billion people. A complete economic collapse is being averted only by the private and secretive Federal Reserve Banks printing unimaginable amounts of currency, which they are lending to the government with interest, which is then lending it interest-free to some of the nation's most mismanaged and greedy corporations, with no formal strings attached and little accountability. Much of it is now unaccounted for and lost to history. Those too-big-to-fail corporations in turn lend it at usurious rates back to the citizens so they can stay trapped in credit card debt that pays for goods and services mostly imported from other nations. So most of the money ultimately leaves the United States, but the citizens and their future offspring are then held responsible for paying back the private Federal Reserve Banks that printed it out of thin air in the first place. Do the math. Follow the money. Wall Street has finally completed their takeover of our democracy in a financial coup d'état. Something is very wrong with this picture.

Soon, our machines and computers will have biological precision, and we will finally achieve the science fiction dream of having our creations perform our work. However, our economies are not prepared for such widespread unemployment. Throughout history, our lives have revolved around us working hard just to survive. Those who didn't have jobs were left to fend for themselves. But what do you do in an age of material abundance when all practical needs can be satisfied but earnings are so scarce that only a few can share this abundance? It may be time for the U.S. to begin considering alternatives to pure capitalism. We may need to embrace an economic system that includes an unconditional basic income to all citizens regardless of employment status, so that everyone can participate. This paper proposes that instead of waiting for nanotechnology before we are forced to create this social safety net during a state of panic, we should begin the transition as soon as possible on a global scale, by starting with the poorest populations, as it will have immediate benefits to all of humanity. The root causes of many of Our World's most urgent problems (overpopulation, widespread disease in undeveloped nations, mass starvation, and violent religious extremism) are poverty and ignorance. Both of these core causal factors can be addressed most efficiently by providing the poor and unemployed with unconditional incomes.

The Problems

Over 25,000 human beings die each and every day as the result of poverty and starvation. The World Bank defines extreme poverty as living on less than US $1/day. Moderate poverty is defined as living on less than US $2/day. There are currently over 1.1 billion people living below the extreme poverty level, and 2.7 billion people living below the moderate poverty level. For most of these people, jobs are scarce or pay only what amounts to slave wages. For them, a very substantial living income would be only $10/day. That would be enough to pay for food, clothing, shelter, medicine, water, and education. Just raising their income to this modest level would begin transforming theirs from undeveloped nations into developing ones. A large number of social scientists and economists, including multiple Nobel Prize-winners, have analysed the issue of poverty and unemployment at great depth and have concluded that the simplest and most efficient solution is to completely replace the existing hodgepodge of international aid programs, domestic welfare programs, and paltry voluntary poverty relief efforts with an Unconditional Basic Income to be provided directly to the poor, without intermediaries.

In the past, before the world was so connected, Americans didn't need to worry themselves with the plight of the poor on the other sides of the planet. The tragedies occurring in distant lands were not issues of immediate importance. However, with modern travel and electronic communication, and the globalization of markets, we are all interlinked now as never before. At no time has this reality hit home harder than when foreign nationals committed acts of terrorism in our country that were so devastating they will be impossible to forget. The American public has been led to believe that this terrorism is the result of religious extremism and the cultural differences between Christianity and Islam. This is not the whole truth. There is a deeper reason that so many young Muslim men are turning fundamentalist hatred, and that is the financial inequality between America and the rest of the world. In the end, the real cause of terrorism is poverty and economic injustice.

Americans will spend an estimated $1.5 trillion dollars fighting the war on terrorism and the war in Iraq, which were wars of choice launched hastily with little forethought in response to the murder of 3000 Americans. This amount of dollars is on such an large scale that it is difficult to fathom. To make it more comprehensible and concrete, imagine that same amount of money being used to provide a $10/day Basic Income Guarantee for 400 million people for a full year. This sort of expenditure to help the poor would have won more good will around the world than have the destructive wars and subsequent attempts at nation building. But most Americans would never even consider contributing to a Basic Income Guarantee for others until they themselves are forced into poverty by circumstances of history. But Americans do not like to pay income taxes, and this is especially true of the wealthy. So where will this money come from, if not income taxes? A fair solution would be to have a flat consumption tax, to replenish general accounts and prevent runaway inflation. If you save your money, you pay no taxes. If you decided to buy something, a small percentage of that gets recirculated back into the system for redistribution to provide a basic income guarantee.

The Debate over Solutions

The Reverend Martin Luther King Jr. devoted an entire chapter to the subject of a basic income guarantee in his final book, "Where do we go from here?" (New York: Harper & Row, 1967). He was working to convince the establishment of his time that the issue of poverty is not a racial one, but is universal, and that the public values towards the poor were misguided. He wrote, "I am now convinced that the simplest approach will prove to be the most effective--the solution to poverty is to abolish it directly by a now widely discussed measure: the guaranteed income."

Reverend King was a very practical man. He explained the problem in simple terms:

"We have come to the point where we must make the non-producer a consumer or we will find ourselves drowning in a sea of consumer goods. We have so energetically mastered production that we now must give attention to distribution. Though there have been increases in purchasing power, they have lagged behind increases in production. Those at the lowest economic level, the poor white and Negro, the aged and chronically ill, are traditionally unorganized and therefore have little ability to force the necessary growth in their income. They stagnate or become even poorer in relation to the larger society."

"The problem indicates that our emphasis must be two-fold. We must create full employment or we must create incomes. People must be made consumers by one method or the other. Once they are placed in this position, we need to be concerned that the potential of the individual is not wasted. New forms of work that enhance the social good will have to be devised for those for whom traditional jobs are not available."

In these statements King was directly addressing the counter arguments to his basic income guarantee proposal. The first argument is the well-known Republican and Libertarian anti-taxation stance: coercive taxation by the government for social programs is unfair and unconstitutional, and ineffective. They feel that the private sector is more effective at delivering services. For example, recently the Libertarian U.S. Representative Ron Paul wrote, "no one can deny that welfare programs have undermined America's moral fabric and constitutional system. Therefore, all those concerned with restoring liberty and protecting civil society from the maw of the omnipotent state should support efforts to eliminate the welfare state, or, at the very least, reduce federal control over the provision of social services." The anti-taxation side claims that giving money to the poor is an unfair drain on the productive that rewards the lazy, and that the productive do not receive any benefits in return for their sacrifice. Many religious conservatives argue that from the Christian standpoint, charity is an act of giving that God wants to be of a person's own volition as a measure of their beneficence and determinant factor in the reward or punishment they receive in the afterlife.

King addressed the financial reciprocity issue by pointing out that money provided for the poor was not being thrown away into a bottomless pit, but rather was being immediately channeled back to the producers, since the poor would become new consumers of goods and services. Because the poor need to spend proportionally larger amounts of their money just in order to survive, this money is actually being used very directly and effectively to stimulate the whole economy, and is far from wasted. The irrational conservative Christian belief that God needs charity to be voluntary in order to measure a person's goodness is simply not logical and can't be countered rationally except by using some competing form of dogma that substitutes one set of unknowable conditions with another.

Other arguments implied that the poor were morally inferior to the working class, due to their lack of character. The welfare philosophies of that time, as they are still, were based in a large part on the on belief that the "character" or moral fiber of the poor could be improved, since its absence seemingly results from, as King states, "multiple evils: lack of education restricting job opportunities; poor housing which stultified home life and suppressed initiative; and fragile family relationships which distorted personality development." These different apparent causes were, and are still are, being addressed separately. There are programs to improve housing, programs to improve education facilities, and programs to provide family counseling services. There are unemployment programs that encourage people to regularly seek work in order to continue receiving conditional benefits. The operating theory is that by correcting these contributing factors, the poor will adopt better values, be more motivated to work, and be able to pull themselves up by their bootstraps to become productive members of the society. Unfortunately, by dealing with all of these issues indirectly through a plethora of inefficient bureaucracies, the desired solutions never reach the poorest of the poor, who are the ones most in need. These approaches all end up failing because they are indirect strategies filled with red tape and administrative overhead. On this point, the Libertarians and Republicans are correct, government is horribly wasteful and slow. Modern thinkers with much more training in economics than Rev. King have come to the same conclusions as King. In the final analysis, the best approach is to provide an unconditional direct income payment. They have advanced and extended their theories to include all of humanity, not just the American poor.

The Intelligent Solution (In the past would have been...)

James Meade, a longtime BIG advocate who won the Nobel in 1977, commented on the ideas of John Maynard Keynes, the primary architect of the modern Western "Keynesian" economic system. He said we must approach the "economic-social-political-environmental problems of our time" as a whole that involves the entire planet, and not just nations. We need to think on a much larger scale than we are used to. Meade emphasizes that it is absolutely urgent that we push to create a system of global federalism at all levels, from the local on up. He argues that we need a single world currency and a mechanism for worldwide public finance, including the basic income to every man, woman, and child. He says this is absolutely necessary if we are really serious about eliminating poverty, preserving peace, and maintaining a healthy environment. He emphasizes that this task of changing our public discourse is momentous, but necessary. We have all been indoctrinated by our systems to identify first with our nations. We must begin thinking on a higher level and start changing our loyalties. Our planet depends on this, according to Meade.

Perhaps the internet will evolve into such a mechanism for worldwide public finance?
Conclusion

Times have changed a lot since the days of the Reverend Martin Luther King, Jr. We have made tremendous social progress. However, we have not found a way to end poverty and starvation. In America, we have just experienced a near total collapse of the economy, averted only by printing money and giving it directly to the richest of the rich: the largest corporate banks. Many Americans are now questioning the soundness of unfettered capitalism and outrageous executive pay. Millions of people have voted for significant increases in public funding of healthcare and education. In spite of what a clear majority of American citizens support, we are seeing the lack of true representation in the U.S. Congress. The fear mongers are making loud cries that "Socialism," the great Cold War Evil, is on the rise. However, if for no other reason than pure self-interest, Americans may soon need to change their attitudes about the distribution of wealth and shared social responsibility.

One of our logical and reasonable options is to create an entirely different economic model that is not based on the scarcity of physical currency, but instead on credits created democratically in an open, peer-reviewed, consensus-based process which includes millions of our brightest minds. In this sort of system, income taxation would be completely unnecessary, as would be thousands of bureaucracies at all levels charged with collecting and spending the peoples' incomes. This would be replaced by a flat consumption tax. Defining that intelligent system is our grand challenge. These decisions should not be left to a bureaucracy of secretive elites.

In the search for these solutions, don't look to the U.S. Congress for guidance. The levers of power are misplaced there in the hands of a miniscule non-represantive group of people, the majority of whom put their own interests in power ahead of the people's interests in freedom, health and happiness. As Americans grow more sophisticated and informed, it has become nearly universally accepted that most in Congress have become tools of Wall Street. It seems insane that 304 million Americans are represented only very indirectly and inefficiently by a paralyzed group of 535 fallible and corruptible human beings, especially in the Age of the Internet. This is not the best democracy we can come up with. As the younger generation becomes the new majority, and if technology continues advancing at its present rate, it is becoming increasingly likely that there will be a Global Basic Income Guarantee implemented within most of our lifetimes, and the poor in the U.S. and around the world will finally have a chance of sharing the many rewards of human progress.

Annotated Bibliography

The World Health Report 2008. Geneva, Switzerland: The World Health Organization, 2008. Print.

This is the annual World Health Report from the World Health Organization. This report contains statistics about world health issues, such as mortality rates and causes of death.

"Factsheet: Global Financial Crisis and Impact on Developing Countries." Global Monitoring Report 2009. 2009. The World Bank. 5 Jun 2009

This is a summary by The World Bank of how the current global financial crisis is affecting the developing nations of the world.

Kurzweil, Ray. The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology. 1. New York: Viking Press, 2005. Print.

Dr. Kurzweil explorers the historical rates of progress for intelligent life. He shares graphs and statistics showing the timeline of human evolution and human technology, and demonstrates that the progress is exponential. When combining this with Moore's Law, the observation by Intel cofounder Gordon Moore that computers double their power every 18 months, Kurzweil hypothesizes that it is very likely that we will have computers with more intelligence than all the people on earth combined within our lifetimes. With this level of artificial intelligence, the machines should be able to solve the engineering problems that are beyond human abilities now, which will ignite an ever accelerating advancement.

"The Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.: Final Words of Advice. " New Pittsburgh Courier [Pittsburgh, Pa.] 16 Jan. 1999, City Edition: C5. Ethnic New swatch (ENW). ProQuest. HCC Library, Des Moines, WA. 28 Apr. 2009

This article reminds us that in Martin Luther King's final book, "Where do we go from here?" he devotes an entire chapter to the Basic Income Guarantee. He reminds us that there are twice as many poor whites as blacks, so this is not simply a race issue. An income guarantee would be the simplest approach to ending poverty, as efforts to fight it by addressing its many independent contributing causes have been mired in bureaucracy and have been unsuccessful. We have improved education and housing, and provided counseling to the poor, but poverty has not gone away. King was convinced that ultimately, the most direct approach would be the most effective. Turning the nonproductive into consumers by providing them with a guaranteed income would drive demand, which would keep up with high production.

Sean Butler. (2005, July). 'Life, Liberty and a Little Bit of Cash'. Dissent, 52(3), 41-47. Retrieved April 27, 2009, from Research Library database. (Document ID: 873720221).

The author discusses the idea of a basic income guarantee and suggests that it would actually be highly beneficial to capitalism. He mentions the stories of some of the early proponents of the idea, and how Alaskans already receive part of the State's oil wealth through the Alaska Permanent Fund and support the idea. He states that unlike unsuccessful programs in pre-1989 communist states, the income should be guaranteed to all citizens regardless of their wealth.

Karl Widerquist. . "Rereading Keynes: Economic Possibilities of Our Grandparents. " Dissent 1 Jan. 2006: 85-87. Research Library. ProQuest. HCC Library, Des Moines, WA. 28 Apr. 2009

The author explores some of the ideas of the famous economist John Maynard Keynes(father of Keynesian Economics). He mentions how during the depression, it was expected that future generations would need to work less and less, however, it has turned out to be the other way around. Keynes, the most influential economist of the 20th century, predicted in 1930 that the average living standards in the US and Europe would be 4-8 times greater in a hundred years. He was right. The real income in the US is five times greater now than in the Depression. His theory predicted that economic productivity would continue to rise dramatically, and that humanity would grow beyond the struggle for existence. This would ultimately result in our being devoted to finding ways to spend our abundance of leisure time. He guessed that the little work that was left would be spread out through the whole society, and that the work week would only be 15 hours. However, this turned out to be incorrect.

Rifkin, Jeremy . The End of Work. New York: G. P. Putnam's Sons, 1995. Print.

This book is reviewed by political activist Roedy Green. The book is based on the simple premise that ultimately machines will replace many human workers, and that the profits will go 100% to the owners of the machines, and none to the workers who have lost the jobs. With nanotechnology and artificial intelligence, this trend will continue for white collar intellectual jobs. The author explores some of the potential social alternatives if this scenario plays out. The short term solution is to reduce the work week from 5 days to 4, thereby increasing the number of people employed. One of the proposed long term solutions is to provide a basic income guarantee to all. Rifkin suggests that the widespread loss of work can spell the end to civilization as we know it, or it can signal the beginning of positive social transformation.

Frankman, Myron J.. . "A Planet-Wide Citizen's Income: An Espousal. " Labour Capital and Society 37.1&2 (2004): 150. Alt-Press Watch (APW). ProQuest. HCC Library, Des Moines, WA. 14 Apr. 2009

Globalization has resulted in the increasing dismantlement of the social safety net in the U.S.. There has been a relentless effort to label the social programs as enabling a "race to the bottom." Frankman believes that we must look at the world problems of poverty as a whole and solve it through a planet-wide Basic Income Guarantee. He also supports a single world currency and a system of public finance. This will be extremely difficult, since we have been systematically conditioned to think nationally rather than globally. We need to have a "Declaration of Interdependence." Statistics show that the ratio of income distribution between the richest 20% of nations and poorest 20% is growing alarmingly. It was 3:1 in 1820, and 74:1 in 1997. For a global BIG to work, we need to begin to think about redirecting trillions of dollars from richer to the poorer nations, rather than billions. Up to $6 trillion could be collected by eliminating international tax havens. We must begin immediately.

Paul, Rep. Ron. "Oppose the Federal Welfare State." LewRockwell.com. 13 Feb 2003. U.S. House of Representatives. 5 Jun 2009 .

Ron Paul is a leading Libertarian politician who opposes all taxation and government programs. He believes that the private sector should be held responsible for everything except for defense. He has consistently opposed all welfare programs, and has fought to eliminate them.

Useful Links

Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies

U.S. Basic Income Guarantee Network

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Support Nanotechnology: Your Life May Depend On It

ATTENTION STEP


· In my first speech, I introduced you all to the science of manipulating things on the atomic and molecular scale, called nanotechnology. I mentioned how in the future we may all merge with nanomachines and become immortal cyborgs.

· Today, I'd like to persuade you that the goal achieving advanced nanotechnology is a vitally important, life or death issue. Nanotech has the potential to solve almost every major problem we face today.

· We are already machines. Each of us is a unique and individual arrangement of matter in time and space, created by a master designer called Mother Nature. Due to the nature of genetics and natural selection, we are all designed first and foremost to do one thing, that is to reproduce. As far as nature is concerned, we are all just sex machines. Once we've outlived our usefulness to this cause, we break down and die.


NEED STEP


· From the beginning of time, death has been the one constant of life. Every living thing eventually dies.

· For the last few thousand years, we have been fighting death with medicine. But in all that time we've only managed to extend our lives about 50 years, then it's game over!

· Our whole health care industry and Medicine itself have been treating the symptoms, and that's the wear and tear of our mechanical parts.

· But in the end, shouldn't we focus on the elephant in the room? The mother of all diseases. That elephant is "DEATH" itself.


SATISFACTION STEP


· If we want to grow beyond ancient ritual of birth and death, we will need to remake ourselves. We'll need to pick up where nature leaves off, and design better bodies. We'll need to make bodies that don't wear out in 70 years. We'll need to learn to create spare parts, so we can have periodic tune ups. We'll need to remake our minds, so that we think clearly for hundreds or thousands of years, instead of becoming senile in under 100.

· To do this, we will need to rearrange ourselves at the molecular level. We will need to redesign our cells, our blood, our tissues, our brains. Ultimately, we will need to completely overhaul our whole design, from the DNA on up. We will need nanotechnology. We need it sooner rather than later.


VISUALIZATION STEP


· Let's look at some statistics that shed a little light on the issue of death

· Here are some numbers from the World Health Organization. These are the numbers of people that die each year by different causes

o In the Developing countries, AIDS kills over 2 1/2 million people each year

o In the Developed countries, 3 1/2 million people die each year of heart disease

o Another 3 million die of strokes.

· According to the CIA World Fact Book 2005 edition, death takes 56.5 million people each year

o That's 155,000 people that die every day

o 25,000 of those are due to hunger

· All of these deaths could have been prevented if we had nanotechnology

· To get there from here, it's going to take a lot of money.

· We will need a major commitment from the governments of the world.

· Here some data from the Cientifica showing the amount of dollars spent on nanotech research per year around the world

· Imagine what we could have done with just a small fraction of the trillion and half dollars the U.S. has spent in the war on terror. Isn't science more important than bombs and bullets?

ACTION STEP


Spread the word, tell your friends

Support political leaders that are tech savvy

Vote to increase funding for nanotechnology

Learn about it by visiting http://www.foresight.org

How about a full-scale WAR ON DEATH instead of all these stupid wars in the Middle East?


ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY:


Peterson, Christine. Unbounding the Future: the Nanotechnology Revolution. First Edition. New York, New York: William Morrow and Company, Inc., 1993, Print.


This book by Christine Peterson, her then husband Eric Drexler, and their associate Gayle Pergamit is a follow-up to the 1985 introduction to nanotechnology, "Engines of Creation." It further explores the current state of the various industries working toward nanotech, and includes mention of new technologies such as virtual reality and computer-aided design. It also includes a picture of IBM's now famous logo, written entirely in atoms.


The world health report 2008. Geneva, Switzerland: The World Health Organization, 2008. Print.


This is the annual World Health Report from the World Health Organization. This report contains statistics about world health issues, such as mortality rates and causes of death.


Nanotechnology Opportunity Report. 3rd Edition. London, England: Cientifica, 2008. Print.


This is a private analysis of worldwide funding in nanotechnology. It tracks nanotech research in all key industrial sectors, as well as all government and publicly available private funding.


The CIA World Fact Book. 2007 Edition. New York, New York: Skyhorse Publishing, 2007. Print.


This is the annual CIA publication of all the major statistics about all the countries of the world. They track things like political affiliations, religious, economic, demographic, and import/export data


Freitas Jr., Robert, Nanomedicine, Volume IIA: Biocompatibility. Self-published, 2003. Print


This series of books is the first specifically dedicated to nanotechnology's application to medicine. It includes ample amounts of chemistry, physics, and math to earn Freitas universal respect in the scientific community

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Speech 1: Informative: Will you be immortal?

Introduction:

It is very likely that some of you here in this room may live long enough to live indefinitely. Yes, some of you may become immortal - for real. And this won't even require being bitten by a vampire or drinking from the mythical fountain of youth. Not only may you become immortal, you may also become cyborgs - moving beyond human, into the next higher creature, a human machine hybrid called a transhuman. Eventually, you may change so much, that you become posthuman.

Thesis Statement:

Human immortality will be made possible by our mastery of building tiny machines on the scale of atoms and molecules. If current trends in technological advancement continue, we will soon finally put an end to the whole idea of "death."

Preview:

In the next few minutes, I will introduce you to some terminology that may be new to you, and then I'll explain how these things will make the next giant leap in human evolution possible. You may have heard of some of these words through Hollywood films or books of fiction, but they are being used in new ways today to discuss the radical changes of tomorrow. These terms include nanotechnology, transhumanism, nanometer, Moore's law, artificial intelligence, Singularity, nanobots, molecular medicine, and gene therapy.

Body:

What is nanotechnology? The term as it used today was first coined by Dr. Eric Drexler, who earned his PhD in the subject from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. In his first book written for the layperson, Engines of Creation, he outlined many dramatic future possibilities that would result from building machines on the almost impossible to imagine small scale of atoms and molecules. At this scale, things are measured in lengths of nanometers, or billionths of a meter.

How small is a nanometer? In everyday life, we measure things in inches, feet, yards and miles. To us, a nanometer is just a general idea of something that's really tiny. How can we visualize a nanometer? Non-scientists in the U.S. aren't used to metrics, so let's just say that a meter is 3 feet, or the length of a yard stick. If we were to take a yard stick and enlarge it to size of the Sun, a nanometer would be about the distance between your hands held wide in front of you. If that yard stick had the diameter of the Earth, a nanometer would be about the size of a marble, or a half an inch. That is really small.

Nature mastered nanotechnology billions of years ago. You and I, flowers and trees, birds and bees and all other living thing are real life proof that nanotechnology works. From the perspective of atoms, we are all very large machines built from a much smaller machine called a cell, which is controlled by an even smaller machine, the DNA molecule. Back to our analogy of the earth being a yardstick, our DNA is about two marbles wide!

Modern science is already working very close to this scale. For example, the central processing unit (CPU) of a new PC purchased today is etched onto a silicon circuit with millions of connections that are 45 nanometers wide, or 45 marbles compared to the earth. The famous co-founder of the chip maker Intel, Gordon Moore, observed that computers double their power about every 18 months, which means they are able to do the same thing in half the space and time as before. The scientific community calls this trend Moore's Law.

The inventor and futurist Dr. Ray Kurzweil has published several books about when computers reach human-level intelligence, in terms of the amount of information they can store and process in a given amount of time. In his book, The Age of Spiritual Machines, Kurzweil describes how computers may become sentient, conscious beings. He goes further in his most recent book, The Singularity is Near. According to Kurzweil, by following Moore's Law on its past and current trend line, we will reach this level of computer power around 2025. When that goal is reached, it will be truly revolutionary because we could have Artificial General Intelligence. This is when things will really take off, because the machines will be able to solve problems that humans can't, including how to build smarter machines. Kurzweil calls this event in history The Singularity, or a point when change happens so quickly that unenhanced people simply cannot keep pace.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is the branch of computer science that deals with writing computer programs that can solve problems creatively. Presently, with today's computers, our AI technology is very primitive. There are some examples of computers learning to recognize objects in pictures and to form generalizations to the point where they can recognize similar objects in difference scenes. Right now, we have very special purpose AI, such as software that can transcribe speech, but it still isn't 100% accurate. Around 2025, today's artificial intelligence will look like child's play.

Robotics is an area of artificial intelligence that deals with moving things around in ways that typically require human limbs, eyes and hands. In the movies, robots are clunky humanoid machines that normally do scary or stupid things. In reality, they are more mundane little servants that sit still and move things around. With robotics, we can build cars, refrigerators, and computer chips. We have little inkjet printers that put the drops of ink exactly where we want them on a piece of paper. When we start building robots on the scale of molecules, we'll be able to do some truly miraculous things. These tiny robots are called nanobots. Nanobots will be the real fountain of youth.

The process of getting old involves the slow degradation of our DNA to the point where it no longer does its job of creating healthy cells and tissues. When our DNA is damaged to the point where cells divide uncontrollably, we call this cancer. Nanobots will be small enough to move things around that are smaller than cells. This is the field of molecular medicine. They will be able to deliver drugs in a targeted way, not into the general bloodstream for all our tissues to absorb indiscriminately, but rather to the exact parts of specific organs that need those drugs. Beyond that, we may actually build artificial cells to perform functions of biological cells. One artificial cell proposed by nanomedicine pioneer Robert Freitas is the respirocyte, a little oxygen carrier. This could replace the hemoglobin that makes our blood red, and would allow us to remain underwater for an hour after taking only a single breath. Nanobots might physically examine the DNA molecule in each of our cells atom by atom, fixing any damages to genes that have been inherited or caused by aging over our lifetimes. This will be gene therapy at it's best. Not only will we fix broken genes, but we may also insert new ones.

The American scientist Dr. Marvin Minsky, in his Scientific American essay, points out that with nanobots, we'll be able to trace out all the nerves in our brain, and monitor our neural activity, so that we fully understand just what thoughts and consciousness are. And not only will they do this sensory task, they will also be able stimulate those same neurons to interface our minds directly with the internet. Virtual reality using nanobots would feel as real as our dreams do now. Not only could we project completely believable images into our brains, we could also record our experiences directly and relive them later with all the fidelity of the first time. Or even beyond that, we could use telemetry to transmit and broadcast our experiences or memories to others in real time, or any time after the experience. In the end, Minsky speculates, we may do away with the biological neurons completely, and replace them all with artificial ones that improve upon the originals.

Where might all this lead? The Oxford University philosopher Dr. Nick Bostrom speculates that we may eventually live entirely in simulated worlds, akin to The Matrix, except without the flesh and bones body lying in the hive. He even suggests that if our forebearers reached nanotechnology before us, we could be living in one of those simulations right now.

And for those of you who don't expect to live long enough to see this in your lifetime, you can always elect to have your brain frozen in liquid nitrogen, so that you remain in suspended animation until these technologies are available. Dr. Ralph Merkle, a prominent nanotechnologist, has explained that any structural damage caused by freezing could be repaired with the help of nanobots and nanocomputers, so that the healthy state of our memories could be restored.

Conclusion:

In summary, I hope you are now more familiar with terms such as nanotechnology, nanobots, molecular medicine, Moore's Law, artificial intelligence, transhumanism, and The Singularity.

This is why many of the people in this room may live long enough to become immortals. And for those of you immortals out there, you've got a heck of an awesome and fantastic future ahead to look forward to. As the saying goes, "You Ain't Seen Nothin' Yet!"


Bibliography:

Drexler, K. Eric. Engines of Creation: The Coming Era of Nanotechnology. New York: Anchor Press, 1986. Print.

This is the classic modern introduction to nanotechnology. Dr. Drexler wrote this for the layperson, and it explains the promises and peril of advanced nanotechnology. While on the one hand it will mean medicine so advanced that natural death could be virtually eliminated, it also spells out very clearly that the military use of this technology would enable totalitarian control of humanity by unethical individuals and governments. He also foresees that the terrorist use or even unintentional release of self-replicating nanobots could spell ecological disaster and an end to life on earth.

Merkle, Ralph. "The Molecular Repair of the Brain." Cryonics 15(1994): Print.

Dr. Merkle explores the feasibility of the current methods used in human cryopreservation. This is the science of preparing the brains of deceased patients with a solution that will protect the cells from freezing damage, then slowly lowering the temperature to that of liquid nitrogen. At these extremely low temperatures, all molecular activity is stopped, and the brain is held in a suspended state indefinitely. The hope is that eventually humans will have the technology to scan these brains with atomic precision, and to restore the memories that the person had in life.

Kurzweil, Ray. The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology. 1. New York: Viking Press, 2005. Print.

Dr. Kurzweil explorers the historical rates of progress for intelligent life. He shares graphs and statistics showing the timeline of human evolution and human technology, and demonstrates that the progress is exponential. When combining this with Moore's Law, the observation by Intel cofounder Gordon Moore that computers double their power every 18 months, Kurzweil hypothesizes that it is very like that we will have computers with more intelligence than all the people on earth combined within our lifetimes. With this level of artificial intelligence, the machines should be able to solve the engineering problems that are beyond human abilities now, which will ignite an ever accelerating advancement.

Minsky, Marvin. "Will Robots Inherit the Earth." Scientific American Oct(1994): Print.

Dr. Minsky is one of the world's leading thinkers on artificial intelligence. He founded the AI Laboratory at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He theorizes that when humans finally have mastered advanced nanotechnology, that we will begin improving our brains using artificial neurons. He speculates that we will find the mechanisms responsible for consciousness, and replace everything else that supplies that with thoughts and information. In return, we will have brighter minds, capable of creating many more thoughts and ideas of greater complexity than we can now in a fraction of the time. In short, we will become robotic, but it will be a biologically precise robotics that gives us greater empathy and communication skill, rather than the contemporary vision of robots as soulless clumsy automatons.

Bostrom, Nick. "Are You Living In a Computer Simulation?" Philosophical Quarterly, 2003, Vol. 53, No. 211, pp. 243-255.

This paper by Dr. Bostrom postulates that humanity will eventually create computers powerful enough to simulate the entire universe to a degree indistinguishable from the real thing by the people living within it. Through logical argument, he further speculates that this level of technology is virtually inevitable, so in all likelihood, such computer simulations will be run by advanced humans (or other beings). Since it is a virtual certainty that this will occur, it is also more likely than not that this has already occurred, and that the universe that we know is very likely a simulation by more advanced beings. He draws many parallels between this concept and religious ideas. It opens the scientifically reasonable possibility of an afterlife, as well as the possibility of what from our perspective would be omniscient creator beings.

Thursday, April 30, 2009

Research Proposal: The Solution to National and Global Poverty: An Unconditional Basic Income Guarantee for All

Poverty and hunger represent the most basic threat to human survival worldwide. Current statistics show that approximately 1.2 billion people today, mainly in undeveloped nations, suffer from constant hunger as the result of poverty. The industrialized nations have in recent history managed to minimize poverty through their achievement of high employment rates and plentiful food supplies made possible by abundant natural resources and the success of factory farming and automated agriculture.

The United States experienced widespread poverty and hunger during the Great Depression, but those who lived through that period are now largely deceased. In the years since, most Americans have remained insulated from direct contact with extensive poverty. As a result, Americans tend to spend very little time worrying about the suffering of the starving and poor. At home, we have social programs that attempt to address the needs of the unemployed such as Welfare, Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security; however, these remedies are notoriously bureaucratic, inefficient and wasteful. To make matters worse, there are projected major budget shortfalls on the horizon, with no solutions within our current economic structure.

The problem of poverty will soon begin to confront many Americans. Due to globalization, outsourcing, and the recent worldwide financial crisis, the American economy is shrinking rather than growing. Most domestic manufacturing jobs have left the country as the cheap labor is elsewhere and the remaining facilities are highly automated. The rate of unemployment is rising. The gap between rich and poor is widening as the wealth is growing more concentrated in the hands of a few. This trend shows no sign of abating. So paradoxically, in our age of abundance, we will soon need to rethink our strategies for dealing the issue of widespread poverty. This time, finally, all of humanity will have the opportunity to address the issue as a whole from a global perspective and the result may be a solution for everyone that finally puts an end to the age-old scourge of poverty and starvation.

A large number of social scientists and economists, including multiple Nobel Prize-winners, have analyzed this issue at great depth and concluded that the simplest and most efficient solution to this problem is to completely replace our hodgepodge of ineffective welfare programs and paltry voluntary poverty relief efforts with a Basic Income Guarantee for all. For this to work, it would need to be largely financed by the USA, which has the world's largest economy.

Will Americans, long indoctrinated with the Protestant Work Ethic and deeply held fears of socialism, ever bring themselves to support a system that pays all people unconditionally, including non-Americans, whether they are working, seeking work or not? Who specifically would pay for this? Could it be financed without coercive taxation? Would there need to be a new global currency? Would all people receive the same allowance, regardless of their regional and local costs of living? Why should we be thinking about this now rather than postponing it for a later date? Is it remotely possible that a change of this magnitude could be made? Has this been tried anywhere before? Could the internet be used extensively to administer this system?

There is no shortage of data on hunger. However, the resources on the topic of a Basic Income Guarantee are more scarce. The World Bank and United Nations collect vast amounts of data on world economics and poverty, compiling statistics and publishing reports in an ongoing manner. I have obtained much of this data, but have not yet purchased the software for analyzing it and generating useful charts and graphs. Most of the data is in a format intended for a specific computer program called "Stata", which can be obtained with an single user educational license for around $450. There is a less expensive utility program called "Stat/Transfer 9" for converting the raw Stata datasets into other usable formats, such as Microsoft Excel, which I own and can work with. This is available for $179. I intend to use several websites where this data is presented graphically along with analysis, such http://worldbank.org and http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/. I will access the archives of dozens academic papers hosted on the website of the informal U.S. Basic Income Guarantee Network at http://www.usbig.net/papers.html. I will use the Highline Community College library online research portal, where in the ProQuest database I've found several peer reviewed journal essays and newspaper articles. I will use the HCC Library and King County Libraries to access several books that deal with the subject. The Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. devoted an entire chapter to Guaranteed Income for all in his final published book, "Where do we go from here?". A book by Jeremy Rifkin, "The End of Work," explores the coming economic upheaval that will result from nanotechnology and its application to the automation of both physical and mental labor as it enables biologically precise robotics and artificial intelligence that exceeds that of humans. I will use Google to locate and collect as much authoritative text as possible. I intend to conduct primary field research on campus to study the personal values and reactions relating to these ideas by designing a formal online survey of 10-15 questions which will be hosted by PollDaddy.com.

There are going to be some significant challenges in educating survey participants on the economic and technological trends that will necessitate such a drastic solution. Many students have conservative Republican or Libertarian values and are predisposed to reject out of hand any proposal that involves taxation. In our culture, a person's value and identity are often defined by their occupation. Convincing people that the unemployed should be rewarded with an unconditional income is a tough sell. This would destroy the main incentive for people to be productive and contribute their fair share to society. They may find it hard to imagine that the U.S. economy will falter on such a large scale or that advanced technology will ever replace the majority of workers. It may seem unfair to them that wealthy entrepreneurs and corporations should be forced to pay for so many people that they are conditioned to perceived as of "lower character" or value.

I believe that these obstacles can be overcome by presenting the survey recipients with a brief explanations and statistics that enlighten them on the trajectory of current economic and technological trends. I will highlight that these ideas are embraced by intelligent Democrats and Republicans alike. I will attempt to make these trends feel less frightening and more desirable by highlighting their potential benefits to the human condition. I will explain that global terrorism and regional conflict are deeply rooted in poverty and social inequality.

The research timeline will be as follows: Week of April 27th, Collect and Read Secondary Sources. Week of May 4th, Design the Survey. Week of May 11, Conduct the Survey. Week of May 18, analyze the results and incorporate into first draft of Research Paper. Week of May 24, second draft of Research Paper. Week of June 1, publish final paper.

There is tremendous suffering in the world due to poverty, yet there is ample wealth to provide for the basic survival needs of the entire human race. Unfortunately, the American economy is based on credit-financed consumerism and values of self-reliance and personal gratification to the exclusion of others. The American media pays little attention to world poverty, as it feeds the citizens on an information diet of tabloid sensationalism and constant political conflict, fostering a sense of apathy and powerlessness. My goal for this research paper is to present an alternative outlook on poverty and economics to my American readers, and to persuade them that they have the power to change the world for the better in a momentous way, and can put an end to all poverty on Earth today if they only had the will to support a Basic Income Guarantee, and to see it through. This is a great idea that is being almost completely ignored, so this research has the potential to open the eyes and minds of many who have been uniformed by a media and government of the greedy and corrupt.

About the author: Ken Meyering is a 43 year-old web entrepreneur. He owns the globally-accessed dictionary website, define.com, which receives thousands of visitors from hundreds of countries each day. He is currently enrolled in the Web Database Developer program at Highline Community College. He plans to use this new skill set to transform define.com into an educational, multilingual, multimedia encyclopedic online dictionary which is capable of collecting words, definitions, speech samples, images and video in all human languages from anywhere on Earth. It is Ken's hope that by gathering all of these languages in one location, including the ability to translate words between any of them, people from different nations spread all over the globe will learn each other's languages and cultures, and communicate openly to resolve conflicts and promote peace.

Sunday, April 19, 2009

Paraphrase Exercise: Basic Income Guarantee

The argument that we should all be provided with a basic income guarantee (BIG) is based on the idea that any person or group's success is a result of the Commons - our collective knowledge, societal structures, and natural resources. The idea of providing this basic income for everybody is an old one, dating back to the 1700's, when it was championed by Thomas Paine. Modern Nobel Prize winning economists James Meade, Milton Friedman, James Tobin and Herbert Simon agree that this is a good idea. So did the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.

James Meade, a longtime BIG advocate who won the Nobel in 1977, commented on the ideas of John Maynard Keyes. He said that their main appeal was that we should step back and view the entire economic problem as a whole and that we should provide the public with a complete solution which radically deals with the issues of unemployment and living standards. Furthermore, we must approach the "economic-social-political-environmental problems of our time" as a whole that needs to involve the entire planet, and not just nations. We need to think on a much larger scale than we're used to. He emphasizes that it is absolutely urgent that we push to create a system of global federalism at all levels, from the local on up. We need a single world currency and a mechanism for worldwide public finance, including the basic income to every man, woman, and child. This is absolutely necessary if we are serious about eliminating poverty, preserving peace, and maintaining a healthy environment.

This task of changing our public discourse is momentous, but necessary. We have all been indoctrinated by our systems to identify first with our nations. We must begin thinking on a higher level and start changing our loyalties. Europe has made a step in this direction with the European Union. We all must do the same. Our planet depends on this.

Currently, the appearance of global consensus is a charade, as wealthy nations officially proclaim that they are all committed to the goal of ending world poverty. However, even by taking just a glancing look at the statements vs. the actual investments, it is clear that the true prescription currently being offered is for the poor to help themselves out of their situation, using their own resources. We did not expect this kind of recovery of post World War II Europe, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, which all received tremendous amounts of aid grants for their reconstruction during the Marshal Plan or 1950's.

Money is so unevenly distributed among countries and world-wide in possession of such few individuals and corporations, that it is simple to identify a potential tax base to fund the BIG. Once again, the difficult problem is to change the public discourse. If we could just return the tax rates in the Northern Hemisphere to what they were a few decades ago, we'd have the funds to end poverty. This could be significantly augmented by simply putting an end to offshore tax havens.

Frankman, Myron J.. . "A Planet-Wide Citizen's Income: An Espousal. " Labour Capital and Society 37.1&2 (2004): 150. Alt-Press Watch (APW). ProQuest. HCC Library, Des Moines, WA. 19 Apr. 2009

"The Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.: Final Words of Advice. " New Pittsburgh Courier [Pittsburgh, Pa.] 16 Jan. 1999, City Edition: C5. Ethnic NewsWatch (ENW). ProQuest. HCC Library, Des Moines, WA. 17 Apr. 2009